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The objective of this section is to present the best available data on a wide range of health and related indicators.  This should provide health planners and managers with easy access to data from a variety of sources.

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AIDS orphans

DefinitionNumber of children under 18 years who have lost either a mother (maternal orphan), a father (paternal orphan) or both parents (a double orphan) due to HIV/AIDS.

Previously the definition used was: Number of children under 15 years whose mothers have died of HIV/AIDS.

A summary of the definitions used:

ASSA 2000 - maternal orphans less than 15 years

ASSA 2002 - maternal orphans less than 18 years

ASSA 2003 - maternal orphans less than 18 years.

ReferenceActuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002.
Ref. URLhttp://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/
Keywords
Indicator Type: -> Health Status -> HIV and AIDS

[Related Resources]

Indicator Data
View by [Ethnic] [Geographic (SA provinces)] [International] [District]

ECFSGPKZNLPMPNCNWWCZA
AIDS orphans [Definition]
2000 ASSA2000 change/no change10 6546 23816 38437 6838 80611 8686837 1471 876[1] 124 989
2002 38 22220 85458 100120 16730 49836 5412 67224 6457 133[2] 338 932
2004 ASSA2002---------[3] 626 000
2005 ASSA2000 change--------14 682[4] 684 364
2005 ASSA2000 no change75 03836 913104 449202 27757 89859 0985 47445 084-[5] 685 354
2006 ASSA2003124 05569 265203 287360 02678 569106 8957 88478 26229 830[6] 1 018 548
2007 ASSA2003148 12581 572243 785416 34794 208123 2339 57992 74936 677[7] 1 201 675
2008 ASSA2003171 67993 029282 151467 328109 481137 82611 355106 63444 067[8] 1 374 883
2009 ASSA2003194 060103 265316 989511 666123 950150 29713 179119 51351 873[9] 1 532 991
2010 ASSA2000 change--------44 358[10] 1 502 457
2010 ASSA2000 no change219 63489 647245 470437 651157 259124 07316 571112 708-[11] 1 531 229
2010 ASSA2002---------[12] 1 597 000
2010 ASSA2003214 946112 165347 935549 060137 460160 62415 009131 16759 926[13] 1 674 359
2015 ASSA2000 change---------[14] 1 691 550
2015 ASSA2000 no change---------[15] 1 854 462
2015 ASSA2002---------[16] 1 938 000
EC: Eastern Cape  FS: Free State  GP: Gauteng  KZN: KwaZulu-Natal  LP: Limpopo  MP: Mpumalanga  NC: Northern Cape  NW: North West  WC: Western Cape  ZA: South Africa  

Notes and References

  1. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  2. HIV Indicators 2002: Dorrington RE, Bradshaw D, Budlender D. HIV/AIDS profile of the provinces of South Africa indicators for 2002. Centre for Actuarial Research, Medical Research Council and the Actuarial Society of South Africa; 2002. http://www.mrc.ac.za/bod/AIDSindicators2002.pdf AIDSIndicators2002.pdf
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/HIVIndicators_2002.pdf
    Estimated total no. AIDS orphans - maternal orphans <18 years
  3. HIV Indicators 2004: Dorrington R, Bradshaw D, Johnson L, Budlender D. The Demographic Impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa: National Indicators for 2004. Cape Town: Centre for Actuarial Research, South African Medical Research Council and Actuarial Society of SA; 2004. http://www.commerce.uct.ac.za/care/ ISBN: 1-920015-17-5
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/HIVIndicators_2004.pdf
    Maternal orphans under 18.
  4. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  5. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  6. ASSA 2003: ASSA2003 Model: ProvOutput. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. [cited 2006 Jun 19]. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/ASSA2003ProvOutput_051129.zip
    Downloaded 2006-06-19
  7. ASSA 2003: ASSA2003 Model: ProvOutput. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. [cited 2006 Jun 19]. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/ASSA2003ProvOutput_051129.zip
    Downloaded 2006-06-19
  8. ASSA 2003: ASSA2003 Model: ProvOutput. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. [cited 2006 Jun 19]. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/ASSA2003ProvOutput_051129.zip
  9. ASSA 2003: ASSA2003 Model: ProvOutput. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. [cited 2006 Jun 19]. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/ASSA2003ProvOutput_051129.zip
  10. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  11. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  12. HIV Indicators 2004: Dorrington R, Bradshaw D, Johnson L, Budlender D. The Demographic Impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa: National Indicators for 2004. Cape Town: Centre for Actuarial Research, South African Medical Research Council and Actuarial Society of SA; 2004. http://www.commerce.uct.ac.za/care/ ISBN: 1-920015-17-5
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/HIVIndicators_2004.pdf
  13. ASSA 2003: ASSA2003 Model: ProvOutput. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. [cited 2006 Jun 19]. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/ASSA2003ProvOutput_051129.zip
  14. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  15. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  16. HIV Indicators 2004: Dorrington R, Bradshaw D, Johnson L, Budlender D. The Demographic Impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa: National Indicators for 2004. Cape Town: Centre for Actuarial Research, South African Medical Research Council and Actuarial Society of SA; 2004. http://www.commerce.uct.ac.za/care/ ISBN: 1-920015-17-5
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/HIVIndicators_2004.pdf
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